User:IssaRice/Belief propagation and cognitive biases: Difference between revisions

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* "Several cognitive biases can be seen as confusion between probabilities and likelihoods, most centrally base-rate neglect." [https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/tp4rEtQqRshPavZsr/learn-bayes-nets]
* "Several cognitive biases can be seen as confusion between probabilities and likelihoods, most centrally base-rate neglect." [https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/tp4rEtQqRshPavZsr/learn-bayes-nets]
* I think a polytree graph like <math>X\rightarrow Z \leftarrow Y</math> can illuminate the halo effect/horn effect
* I think a polytree graph like <math>X\rightarrow Z \leftarrow Y</math> can illuminate the halo effect/horn effect
* Maybe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkson%27s_paradox
* Maybe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkson%27s_paradox The page even says "The effect is related to the explaining away phenomenon in Bayesian networks."

Revision as of 05:05, 3 September 2018

  • "Several cognitive biases can be seen as confusion between probabilities and likelihoods, most centrally base-rate neglect." [1]
  • I think a polytree graph like can illuminate the halo effect/horn effect
  • Maybe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkson%27s_paradox The page even says "The effect is related to the explaining away phenomenon in Bayesian networks."